A simple diabetes risk tool that does not require laboratory tests would be beneficial in screening individuals at higher risk. Few studies have evaluated the ability of these tools to identify new cases of pre-diabetes. This study aimed to assess the ability of the American Diabetes Association Risk Tool (ADART) to predict the 3-year incidence of pre-diabetes and diabetes in Taiwanese.This was a 3-year prospective study of 1021 residents with normoglycemia at baseline, gathered from a random sample of residents aged 40-88 years in a metropolitan city in Taiwan. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of three models were compared: ADART only, ADART plus lifestyle behaviors at baseline, and ADART plus lifestyle behaviors and biomarkers at baseline. The performance of ADART was compared with that of 16 tools that had been reported in the literature.The AUCs and their 95

作者：Chia-Ing, Li；Ling, Chien；Chiu-Shong, Liu；Wen-Yuan, Lin；Ming-May, Lai；Cheng-Chun, Lee；Fei-Na, Chen；Tsai-Chung, Li；Cheng-Chieh, Lin

来源：PloS one 2011 年 6卷 10期