Triple negative breast cancers (TNBC) with a BRCA1-like profile may benefit from high dose alkylating chemotherapy (HDAC). This study examines whether BRCA1-like testing to target effective HDAC in TNBC patients can be more cost-effective than treating all patients with standard chemotherapy. Additionally, we estimated the minimum required prevalence of BRCA1-like and the required positive predictive value (PPV) for a BRCA1-like test to become cost-effective.Our Markov model compared 1) the incremental costs; 2) the incremental number of respondents; 3) the incremental number of Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs); and 4) the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of treating TNBC women with personalized HDAC based on BRCA1-like testing vs. standard chemotherapy, from a Dutch societal perspective and a 20-year time horizon, using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Furthermore, we performed one-way sensitivity analysis (SA) to all model parameters, and two-way SA to prevalence and PPV. Data were obtained from a current trial (NCT01057069), published literature and expert opinions.BRCA1-like testing to target effective HDAC would presently not be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €80.000/QALY (€81.981/QALY). SAs show that PPV drives the ICER changes. Lower bounds for the prevalence and the PPV were found to be 58.5

作者：Anna, Miquel-Cases；Lotte M G, Steuten；Valesca P, Retèl；Wim H, van Harten

来源：Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland) 2015 年 24卷 4期